I'd say chances are pretty low but it is possible. More than anything else it will depend on the rate of reservation to order conversion in the early waves. See my analysis here:Good afternoon, My reservation number is 10902***, confirmation at 20:20 ET on May 21. Do you think I’ll get a 2022 model?
Yes, it's the #1 on the priority list that made the difference for you. I was my dealership's #3, so I was 2nd wave.My dealer had 17 reservations. Ford allocated them 5. I was #1 priority. I was the first reservation also on their list. I also have been with them for 40 years. LOL